A COVID-19 specific multiparametric and ECG-based score for the prediction of in-hospital mortality: ELCOVID score.

We aimed to develop and validate a COVID-19 specific scoring system, also including some ECG features, to predict all-cause in-hospital mortality at admission. Patients were retrieved from the ELCOVID study (ClinicalTrials.gov identifier: NCT04367129), a prospective, multicenter Italian study enrolling COVID-19 patients between May to September 2020. For the model validation, we randomly selected two-thirds of participants to create a derivation dataset and we used the remaining one-third of participants as the validation set. Over the study period, 1014 hospitalized COVID-19 patients (mean age 74 years, 61% males) met the inclusion criteria and were included in this analysis. During a median follow-up of 12 (IQR 7-22) days, 359 (35%) patients died. Age (HR 2.25 [95%CI 1.72-2.94], p < 0.001), delirium (HR 2.03 [2.14-3.61], p = 0.012), platelets (HR 0.91 [0.83-0.98], p = 0.018), D-dimer level (HR 1.18 [1.01-1.31], p = 0.002), signs of right ventricular strain (RVS) (HR 1.47 [1.02-2.13], p = 0.039) and ECG signs of previous myocardial necrosis (HR 2.28 [1.23-4.21], p = 0.009) were independently associated to in-hospital all-cause mortality. The derived risk-scoring system, namely EL COVID score, showed a moderate discriminatory capacity and good calibration. A cut-off score of ≥ 4 had a sensitivity of 78.4% and 65.2% specificity in predicting all-cause in-hospital mortality. ELCOVID score represents a valid, reliable, sensitive, and inexpensive scoring system that can be used for the prognostication of COVID-19 patients at admission and may allow the earlier identification of patients having a higher mortality risk who may be benefit from more aggressive treatments and closer monitoring.

Risk of Incident Atrial Fibrillation after COVID-19 Infection: a Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.

BACKGROUND: Data regarding the risk of atrial fibrillation (AF) during the post-acute phase of COVID-19 are lacking. OBJECTIVE: We assess the risk of incident AF in COVID-19 recovered patients by performing a systematic review and meta-analysis of the available data. METHODS: Following the PRIMSA guidelines, we searched Medline and Scopus to locate all articles published up to December 10, 2023, reporting the risk of AF in patients recovered from COVID-19 infection compared to non-infected patients who developed the arrhythmia over the same follow-up period. AF risk was evaluated using the Mantel-Haenszel random effects models with Hazard ratio (HR) as the effect measure with 95% confidence interval (CI) while heterogeneity was assessed using Higgins I2 statistic. RESULTS: Overall, 19,478,173 patients (mean age 56.5 years, 63.0% males), enrolled in five observational studies, were included into the analysis. Among them, 5,692,510 recovered from SARS-CoV-2 infection. Over a mean follow-up of 14.5±3.2 months, a random effect model revealed a pooled incidence of new onset AF 2.6% of cases (95% CI: 1.8-6.18%). Recovered COVID-19 patients presented a higher risk of incident AF (HR: 1.57, 95% CI: 1.24-1.99, p<0.0001, I2=77.9%) compared to non-infected patients over the same follow-up period. Sensitivity analyses confirmed yielded results. A multivariable meta-regression, including age, male sex, history of hypertension, coronary artery disease and length of follow-up was able to explain a significant part of heterogeneity (R2: 54.3%, p=0.01). CONCLUSIONS: Recovered COVID-19 patients have a higher risk of AF events compared to subjects from the general population.

Trends in mortality related to venous thromboembolism in the European Union, 2012-2020.

We sought to assess the sex- and age-specific trends in venous thromboembolism (VTE) mortality in the 27 European Union Member States (EU-27) between years 2012 and 2020. Data on cause-specific deaths and population numbers by sex for each country of the EU-27 were retrieved through the publicly available European Statistical Office (EUROSTAT) dataset for the years 2012-2020. VTE-related deaths were ascertained when ICD-10 codes I26, I80, and I82.9 were listed as the primary cause of death in the medical death certificate. To calculate annual trends, we assessed the average annual percent change (AAPC) with relative 95% confidence intervals (CIs) using Joinpoint regression. During the study period, 96,037 (55,278 males and 40,759 females) died for VTE. The age-adjusted mortality rate (AAMR) linearly declined from 2.86 (95% CI 2.84-2.90) deaths per 100,000 individuals in 2012 to 2.53 (95% CI 2.50-2.56) deaths per 100,000 population in 2020 [AAPC: - 2.1% (95% CI - 3.6 to - 0.6), p = 0.001] without differences between sexes (p = 0.60). The higher AAMR was observed in some eastern European countries such as Bulgaria, Czech Republic, and Lithuania. On the contrary, the lower AAMR was mainly clustered in the Mediterranean area (Italy, Spain, and Cyprus). Over the last decade, the age-adjusted VTE-related mortality has been continuously declining in most of the in EU-27 Member States. However, some disparities still exist between western and eastern European countries.

Variability in Alzheimer's disease mortality from European vital statistics, 2012-2020.

OBJECTIVE: Data regarding the trends in Alzheimer's disease (AD) mortality in the modern European Union (EU-27) member states are lacking. We assess the sex- and age-specific trends in AD mortality in the EU-27 member states between years 2012 and 2020. METHODS: Data on cause-specific deaths and population numbers by sex for each country of the EU-27 were retrieved through publicly available European Statistical Office (EUROSTAT) dataset from 2012 to 2020. AD-related deaths were ascertained when the ICD-10 code G30 was listed as the primary cause of death in the medical death certificate. To calculate annual trends, we assessed the average annual percent change (AAPC) with relative 95% confidence intervals (CIs) using Joinpoint regression. RESULTS: During the study period, 751,493 deaths (1.7%, 233,271 males and 518,222 females) occurred in the EU-27 because of AD. Trends in the proportion of AD-related deaths per 1000 total deaths slightly increased from 16.8% to 17.5% (p for trend <0.001). The age-adjusted mortality rate was higher in women over the entire study period. Joinpoint regression analysis revealed a stagnation in age-adjusted AD-related mortality from 2012 to 2020 among EU-27 Member States (AAMR: -0.1% [95% CI: -1.8-1.79], p = 0.94). Stratification by Country showed relevant regional disparities, especially in the Northern and Eastern EU-27 member states. CONCLUSIONS: Over the last decade, the age-adjusted AD-related mortality rate has plateaued in EU-27. Important disparities still exist between Western and Eastern European countries.

[ANMCO Position paper: States General 2023 - Scientific societies and training: the role of ANMCO]. / Position paper ANMCO: Stati Generali 2023 ­ Società scientifiche e formazione: il ruolo dell'ANMCO.

Scientific societies promote numerous activities, including the training of professionals. With the continuous growing of knowledge and the availability of new evidence in the cardiological field, the achievement and maintenance of knowledge and know-how is difficult. The evolving educational needs of professionals in cardiology have been analyzed during the 2023 ANMCO General States. Furthermore, the initiatives implemented to meet professionals' needs after the university medical training have been discussed. In this document, we report the main and most innovative training activities promoted by ANMCO, from distance training to simulation training, including courses for master's degree, training to and through clinical research and the potential role of teaching hospitals.

Trends of hypertrophic cardiomyopathy-related mortality in United States young adults: a nationwide 20-year analysis.

AIMS: Data regarding hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM)-related mortality in United States young adults, defined as those aged between 25 and 44 years, are lacking. We sought to assess the trends in HCM-related mortality among US young adults between 1999 and 2019 and determine differences by sex, race, ethnicity, urbanization and census region. METHODS: Mortality data were retrieved by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) Wide-Ranging Online Data for Epidemiologic Research (WONDER) dataset from January 1999 to December 2019. Age-adjusted mortality rates (AAMRs) were assessed using the Joinpoint regression modeling and expressed as estimated average annual percentage change (AAPC) with relative 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs). RESULTS: Over 20-year period, the AAMR from HCM in US young adults linearly decreased, with no differences between sexes [AAPC: -5.3% (95% CI -6.1 to -4.6), P  < 0.001]. The AAMR decrease was more pronounced in Black patients [AAPC: -6.4% (95% CI -7.6 to -5.1), P  < 0.001], Latinx/Hispanic patients [AAPC: -4.8% (95% CI -7.2 to -2.36), P  < 0.001] and residents of urban areas [AAPC: -5.4% (95% CI -6.2 to -4.6), P  < 0.001]. The higher percentages of HCM-related deaths occurred in the South of the country and at the patient's home. CONCLUSION: HCM-related mortality in US young adults has decreased over the last two decades in the United States. Subgroup analyses by race, ethnicity, urbanization and census region showed ethnoracial and regional disparities that will require further investigation.

[ANMCO Position paper: States General 2023 - Role of ANMCO in the setting of clinical research in Cardiology in Italy: current state and future perspectives]. / Position paper ANMCO: Stati Generali 2023 ­ Ruolo dell'ANMCO nella ricerca clinica cardiologica in Italia: attualità e prospettive.

For over 40 years, clinical research has been one of the most important aims of the Italian Association of Hospital Cardiologists (ANMCO), being an essential tool in pursuing promotion and fulfillment of good clinical practices in prevention, treatment and rehabilitation of cardiovascular diseases. Since 1992, with the creation of the Research Center (now part of the Heart Care Foundation), ANMCO is capable of independently and professionally managing all the aspects related to planning, management, and publication of the results of clinical studies. The other strength of ANMCO is the network built in Cardiology Departments on the whole territory of Italy, a human capital that allows ANMCO to deal with the new scientific challenges, in a context of profound changes in the social, economic, technological, and methodological setting. This document is based on the debate about the state of clinical research in Italy and the role of ANMCO in this setting that took place during the 2023 ANMCO States General.

[ANMCO Position paper: States General 2023 - Digital medicine in cardiology: evidence and state of progress in Italy]. / Position paper ANMCO: Stati Generali 2023 ­ La medicina digitale in cardiologia: evidenze e stato di avanzamento in Italia.

Technological innovation provides easily accessible tools capable of simplifying healthcare processes. Notably, digital technology application in the cardiology field can improve prognosis, reduce costs, and lead to an overall improvement in healthcare. The digitization of health data, with the use of electronic health records and of electronic health files in Italy, represents one of the fields of application of digital technologies in medicine. The 2023 States General of the Italian Association of Hospital Cardiologists (ANMCO) provided an opportunity to focus attention on the potential benefits and critical issues associated with the implementation of the aforementioned digital tools, artificial intelligence, and telecardiology. This document summarizes key aspects that emerged during the event.

Acetyl-cholinesterase-inhibitors reconsidered. A narrative review of post-marketing studies on Alzheimer's disease.

The real efficacy of Acetyl-cholinesterase-inhibitors (AChEI) has been questioned. In this narrative review we evaluated their effect on cognitive decline, measured by Mini Mental State Examination (MMSE), and on total mortality rates in patients with Alzheimer's disease (AD) recruited into post-marketing open/non-randomized/retrospective studies. In AD patients treated with AChEI, the mean MMSE loss ranged from 0.2 to 1.37 points/years, compared with 1.07-3.4 points/years in non-treated patients. Six studies also reported data about survival; a reduction in total mortality relative risk between 27% and 42% was observed, over a period of 2-8 years. The type of studies and the use of MMSE to assess cognitive decline, may have introduced several biases. However, the clinical effects of AChEI seem to be of the same order of magnitude as the drugs currently used in most common chronic disorders, as regards progression of the disease and total mortality. In the absence of long-term randomized trials on "standard" unselected AD outpatients, open/retrospective studies and health databases represent the best available evidence on the possible effect of AChEI in the real-word setting. Our data support the clinical benefit of AChEI in older patients affected by AD.

Trends of Pulmonary Embolism-Related Sudden Cardiac Death in the United States, 1999-2019.

OBJECTIVES: Up-to-date population-based data on pulmonary embolism (PE)-related sudden cardiac death (SCD) mortality trends in the United States (US) are scant. We assess the current trends in PE-related SCD mortality in US over the past two decades and determine differences by sex, race, ethnicity, age, and census region. METHODS: We extracted PE-related SCD mortality rates from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Wide-Ranging Online Data for Epidemiologic Research (CDC WONDER) database from 1999 to 2019, in patients aged ≥ 15 years old. Age-adjusted mortality rates (AAMRs) were assessed using the Joinpoint regression modeling and expressed as estimated average annual percentage change (AAPC) with relative 95% confidence intervals (CIs). RESULTS: Between 1999 and 2019, the AAMR from acute PE-related SCD mortality in the US linearly increased [AAPC: +2.4% (95% CI: 2.2 to 2.6), p < 0.001)]. The AAMR increase was more pronounced in men [AAPC: +2.8% (95% CI: 2.6 to 2.9), p < 0.001], Whites [AAPC: +2.7% (95% CI: 2.3 to 3.1), p < 0.001], Latinx/Hispanic patients [AAPC:+2.0% (95% CI: 1.2 to 2.8), p < 0.001], subjects younger than 65 years [AAPC: +2.4% (95% CI: 2.1 to 2.6), p < 0.001] and in residents of rural areas [AAPC: +3.6% (95% CI: 3.3 to 3.9), p < 0.001]. Moreover, higher percentages of PE-related SCD and the relative absolute number of deaths were observed in the South compared with other geographical regions. CONCLUSIONS: PE-related SCD mortality in the US has increased over the last two decades. Stratification by race, ethnicity, urbanization, and census region demonstrates ethnoracial and regional disparities that require further investigation and remedy.

[ANMCO Position paper - 2023 ANMCO States General: The shortage of healthcare personnel in the cardiology field]. / Position paper ANMCO ­ Stati Generali ANMCO 2023: La carenza del personale sanitario in ambito cardiologico.

Over the latest years, a worrying progressive reduction of medical specialists has been observed in Italy and in other European and non-European countries. This trend is assuming alarming proportions, especially considering the continuous population aging and the concomitant increase in the prevalence of chronic cardiovascular disease. The underlying reasons are complex and multifactorial. The purpose of this document, derived from the collegial discussion held during the 2023 ANMCO States General is to highlight the current critical issues regarding the lack of healthcare personnel in the cardiology field, examining the current and future Italian situation and proposing some potential strategies to counteract this alarming phenomenon.

[ANMCO Position paper - 2023 ANMCO States General: Towards a modern Cardiological Community Care]. / Position paper ANMCO ­ Stati Generali ANMCO 2023: Verso una moderna Cardiologia Territoriale.

Over the last two decades, cardiovascular diseases have become the leading cause of chronic disease morbidity and mortality in Italy. Therefore, the chronic cardiovascular care landscape has evolved rapidly in an era of unprecedented demand. Furthermore, the COVID-19 pandemic has highlighted significant deficiencies in existing health and social care systems, especially in the management of chronic cardiovascular disease. In this scenario, the National Reform for Recovery and Resilience (PNRR) may represent a unique opportunity for the development of a new integrated care system between hospital and community. The Italian Association of Hospital Cardiologists (ANMCO) recognizes the need for a statement on the integrated cardiological community care to guide health professionals caring for people with chronic cardiovascular conditions. The aim of the present statement is to outline the evidence for a modern integrated cardiological community care identifying challenges and offering advice for a future transdisciplinary and multi-organizational approach to ensure best practice in the management of chronic cardiovascular disease.

Trends in atrial fibrillation-related mortality in Europe, 2008-2019.

AIMS: Update data regarding the atrial fibrillation (AF)-related mortality trend in Europe remains scant. We assess the age- and sex- specific trends in AF-related mortality in the European states between the years 2008 and 2019. METHODS AND RESULTS: Data on cause-specific deaths and population numbers by sex for European countries were retrieved through the publicly available World Health Organization (WHO) mortality dataset for the years 2008 to 2019. AF-related deaths were ascertained when the ICD-10 code I48 was listed as the underlying cause of death in the medical death certificate. To calculate annual trends, we assessed the average (AAPC) annual % change with relative 95% confidence intervals (CIs) using Joinpoint regression. During the study period, 773 750 AF-related deaths (202 552 males and 571 198 females) occurred in Europe. The age-adjusted mortality rate (AAMR) linearly increased from 12.3 (95% CI: 11.2 to 12.9) per 100 000 population in 2008 to 15.3 (95% CI: 14.7 to 15.7) per 100 000 population in 2019 [AAPC: +2.0% (95% CI: 1.6 to 3.5), p < 0.001] with a more pronounced increased among men [AAPC: +2.7% (95% CI: 1.9 to 3.5), p < 0.001] compared to women [AAPC: +1.7% (95% CI: 1.1 to 2.3), p < 0.001] (p for parallelism 0.01). The higher AAMR increased was observed in some eastern European countries such as Latvia, Lithuania and Poland while the lower were mainly clustered in the central Europe. CONCLUSIONS: Over the last decade, the age-adjusted AF-related mortality has increased in Europe especially among males. Disparities still exist between western and eastern European countries.

Prognostic Role of Tricuspid Annular Plane Systolic Excursion to Systolic Pulmonary Artery Pressure Ratio for the Identification of Early Clinical Deterioration in Intermediate-High-Risk Pulmonary Embolism Patients.

The ratio of tricuspid annular plane systolic excursion (TAPSE) to echocardiographically measured systolic pulmonary artery pressure (PASP) has been proposed as a surrogate of RV-arterial coupling. In this analysis, we assess the prognostic role of TAPSE/PASP for early clinical deterioration and short-term mortality in an often clinically challenging population of intermediate-high-risk patients with pulmonary embolism (PE). A post hoc analysis of intermediate-high-risk patients with PE enrolled in the Italian Pulmonary Embolism Registry (ClinicalTrials.gov: NCT01604538) was performed. All patients underwent transthoracic echocardiography at admission. The primary and secondary outcomes were clinical deterioration within 48 hours from admission and 30-day all-cause mortality, respectively. In 422 intermediate-high-risk patients with PE (mean age 71.2 ± 5.3 years, 238 men), 37 (8.7%) experienced clinical deterioration within 48 hours of admission. The 30-day mortality rate was 6.6% (n = 28). The receiver operating characteristic analysis established 0.33 as the optimal cut-off value for the TAPSE/PASP in predicting 48-hour clinical deterioration (area under the curve 0.79 ± 0.1). The sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, and negative predictive value were 81%, 88.5%, 40.5%, and 97.9%, respectively. The multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that a TAPSE/PASP ≤0.33 was an independent predictor of 48-hour clinical deterioration (hazard ratio 2.06, 95% confidence interval 1.98 to 2.11, p <0.0001) and 30-day mortality (hazard ratio 2.28, 95% confidence interval 2.25 to 2.33, p <0.001). TAPSE/PASP shows promise as a noninvasive prognostic predictor to identify intermediate-high-risk patients with PE at a higher risk of early clinical deterioration and short-term mortality.